According to @glassnode on X on September 4, 2025, short-term holder profitability for BTC fell from over 90 percent to 42 percent during the selloff, then recovered to near 60 percent. According to @glassnode on X on September 4, 2025, this places the market in a neutral but fragile state. According to @glassnode on X on September 4, 2025, a recovery above 114k to 116k dollars for BTC would restore confidence, while continued weakness risks deeper losses. According to @glassnode on X on September 4, 2025, traders can monitor the 114k to 116k reclaim and the short-term holder profitability trend as key triggers and risk gauges.

According to @KookCapitalLLC, anoncoin has been listed on Moonshot and is currently the No.1 top gainer while the broader crypto market is selling off, signaling notable relative strength versus peers (source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Aug 15, 2025). The post provides no ticker symbol, contract address, price, volume, or order-book details, so any trade setup requires independent verification on the Moonshot listing page and liquidity checks before execution (source: @KookCapitalLLC). Because liquidity and depth are not disclosed in the post, slippage and spread risk cannot be assessed from the source alone, and traders should confirm market data directly on the venue before acting (source: @KookCapitalLLC).

According to @Excellion, BTC could surge aggressively and absorb market liquidity, driving a 30-40% decline in altcoins, source: @Excellion on X, Aug 14, 2025. He also outlines a second path where an altcoin mania peak triggers a broad selloff, with BTC dipping briefly before moving higher as alts capitulate, source: @Excellion on X, Aug 14, 2025.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin declined by 2.9% to $104,889 amid Israeli airstrikes on Iran, causing a broad cryptocurrency market downturn with a key index falling 6.1% over 24 hours. Solana's SOL dropped nearly 9.5% despite earlier gains from SEC ETF speculation, as noted by Wintermute trader Jake Ostrovskis, who highlighted market underexposure to SOL. Polymarket data indicates a 91% chance of Iranian retaliation, heightening uncertainty, while derivatives open interest fell to $49.31 billion and put/call ratios rose, signaling increased demand for downside protection.